Wednesday, 13 October 2010

Looking Ahead - Cesarewitch & Dewhurst

We have some great racing to look forward to this weekend, with some real puzzler races to get the teeth into. The Cesarewitch is one of those races that in truth you should never have a punt in, a two and a quarter mile slog with a massive field in which anything can happen and often does, but you know come Saturday you will be have a couple of bob on some beast in the hope that you have solved the conundrum. Trainers talk confidently about their charge getting the trip – Eoin Griffin on Admiral Barry - and nervously watch the skies for rain leading to a change in going – Mark Tompkins and Theola. Personally I like the look of Red Cadeaux at this stage. The Dunlop trained four-year-old looks like a battler and you certainly need a tough horse in this race. According to reports the trainer is likely to try blinkers on the colt in the big race just to help him concentrate on the job in hand and he has a massive each-way chance.
As I wrote yesterday the Dewhurst should be a cracker and in its own way is a puzzler of a race with Frankel at odds-on but Dream Ahead officially rated the better horse and Dettori talking up the attributes of supplemented Saamidd. I am still undecided at this stage but I am starting to lean toward Dream Ahead based on the form of his two Group 1 victories in the Darley Prix Morny and Shadwell Middle Park Stakes. I think Frankel is bred to become a leading middle distance horse come next season (very closely related to Bullet Train) and Dream Ahead may just have the advantage over seven furlongs with his breeding suggesting that a mile will probably be his best trip come next spring. It is certainly going to be fascinating to watch and whichever of the 12 runners triumphs is guaranteed to go straight to the top of the betting for next seasons classics.

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