Races all over the country today but I am sticking to the west.
In the 3.05 at Newbury we have a nice mix of established middle distance horses and up coming possible future stayers. I have a feeling that Census is improving with every race and will turn out to be a St Leger horse. The Hannon trained three-year-old finished behind Brown Panther at the Royal meeting but to my eyes had given the winner too much of a head start. I expect him to reverse the form over todays longer trip in the Group Three.
I have followed Dubawi Gold on and off for the last two seasons, I tipped him in the Irish Guineas, and the colt has a big chance on Guineas form in the Group Two 3.40. His poor run at the Royal Meeting when finishing sixth (Excelebration third) can be put down to trying to stay with Frankel leading to him visibly tiring late on and without the beast that is Frankel in the line-up I think he can get back to winning ways today.
Be lucky
Saturday, 13 August 2011
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